Monetary Policy
Fed's Warsh Signals No Rush to Hike, October Hold Now Base Case
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declined to pre-commit on rate decisions at the IMF meetings in Bangkok, pushing market odds of an...
MARKET BRIEFING ยท OCT 2026
Inside the October Fed & ECB Decisions
3-minute briefing on rate paths, Q3 GDP nowcasts and the 5.3% 10-year yield spike.
๐ฐ Economic Headlines
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Macro
US Q3 GDP Nowcasts Accelerate to 3.2% as Inflation Risks Intensify
Median nowcasts for the JulyโSeptember quarter point to 3.2% annualized growth, up sharply from Q2's 2.2%, just as Sep...
Europe
Europe's Consumers Are the Last Line of Defense for Growth
Eurozone GDP is on pace for just 0.9% growth in 2026, with resilient household spendingโfunded by drawing down savings...
Inflation
September US CPI Hits 3.7%, Core Inflation Reaccelerates
Headline CPI rose 0.6% month-on-month, the largest increase since April, driving the annual rate to 3.7%; core CPI also ...
Markets
US 10-Year Yield Spikes to 5.37%, Pressuring European Borrowing Costs
The US 10-year Treasury yield hit a 24-year high of about 5.37% on October 8, pushing UK and French yields to multi-deca...
Macro
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Slashes Q3 Estimate to 3.2% from 4.8% as Investment Cools
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model now tracks 3.2% annualized Q3 growth, down sharply from its early-September estimate of 4...
Central Banks
ECB Set to Hold at 2.50% in October, December Hike Still in Play
A Reuters poll shows 70 of 73 economists expect the ECB to leave the deposit rate unchanged on October 29, with a 25bp h...
Monetary Policy
Fed Minutes Confirm One More Hike in 2026, But October Timing Unclear
Minutes from the September FOMC meeting showed most officials expect another rate increase before year-end, though recen...
Labor Market
US September Payrolls Miss Badly at 29,000, Unemployment Rises to 4.2%
Nonfarm payrolls rose just 29,000 in September versus expectations of 84,000, with July and August revised down by a com...
Inflation
Eurozone Inflation Hits 3.8% in September, Highest Since 2023 on Energy Spike
Euro area annual inflation accelerated to 3.8% in September from 3.2% in August, driven by energy prices surging 18.8%. ...
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New 'Labor Market' Category Added to News TaxonomyOct 18, 2026
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๐ต USD Exchange Rates
How far one US dollar goes today โ the crosses global businesses, travelers, and treasury desks watch first. Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 ยท 09:00 EST
USD / EUR
-0.21%
0.9214 EUR
Euro
per 1 USD
USD / GBP
+0.15%
0.7852 GBP
British Pound
per 1 USD
USD / JPY
+0.42%
149.35 JPY
Japanese Yen
per 1 USD
USD / CHF
-0.08%
0.8821 CHF
Swiss Franc
per 1 USD
USD / CAD
+0.11%
1.3642 CAD
Canadian Dollar
per 1 USD
USD / AUD
-0.33%
1.5138 AUD
Australian Dollar
per 1 USD
USD / CNY
+0.05%
7.1284 CNY
Chinese Yuan
per 1 USD
USD / HKD
-0.02%
7.8102 HKD
Hong Kong Dollar
per 1 USD
USD / SGD
+0.18%
1.3425 SGD
Singapore Dollar
per 1 USD
USD / INR
+0.27%
83.412 INR
Indian Rupee
per 1 USD
USD / MXN
-0.44%
17.285 MXN
Mexican Peso
per 1 USD
USD / BRL
+0.62%
5.0873 BRL
Brazilian Real
per 1 USD